Forecasting stock market prices using deep learning methods

Aisulu Ismailova, Zhanar Beldeubayeva, Kuanysh Kadirkulov, Zhanagul Doumcharieva, Assem Konyrkhanova, Dinara Ussipbekova, Ainura Aripbayeva, Dariga Yesmukhanova

Abstract


The article focuses on enhancing stock market price prediction through artificial neural networks and machine learning. It underscores the significance of improving forecast accuracy by incorporating historical stock prices, macroeconomic indicators, news events, and technical indicators. Exploring deep learning principles, it delves into convolutional neural networks (CNN), recurrent neural networks (RNN), including long short-term memory (LSTM), and gated recurrent unit (GRU) modifications. This financial time series processing study covers data preprocessing, creating training/test sets, and selecting evaluation metrics. Results suggest promising applications for the developed forecasting models in stock markets, stressing the importance of considering various factors for precise forecasts in dynamic financial environments. Historical reserve data serves as the model foundation. Integration of macroeconomic, news, and technical indicators offers a holistic approach, aiding trend and anomaly identification for enhanced forecasts. The article recommends suitable deep learning architectures, highlighting LSTM and GRU's effectiveness in adapting to intricate data dependencies. Experimental outcomes showcase these architectures' benefits in predicting stock market prices, offering valuable insights for finance and asset management professionals in financial analysis and machine learning realms.

Keywords


Deep learning; Forecasting stock; Gated recurrent unit; Long short-term memory; Stock market; Financial analysis

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DOI: http://doi.org/10.11591/ijece.v14i5.pp5601-5611

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International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering (IJECE)
p-ISSN 2088-8708, e-ISSN 2722-2578

This journal is published by the Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science (IAES) in collaboration with Intelektual Pustaka Media Utama (IPMU).