Forecasting creditworthiness in credit scoring using machine learning methods

Ayagoz Mukhanova, Madiyar Baitemirov, Azamat Amirov, Bolat Tassuov, Valentina Makhatova, Assemgul Kaipova, Ulzhan Makhazhanova, Tleugaisha Ospanova

Abstract


This article provides an overview of modern machine learning methods in the context of their active use in credit scoring, with particular attention to the following algorithms: light gradient boosting machine (LGBM) classifier, logistic regression (LR), linear discriminant analysis (LDA), decision tree (DT) classifier, gradient boosting classifier and extreme gradient boosting (XGB) classifier. Each of the methods mentioned is subject to careful analysis to evaluate their applicability and effectiveness in predicting credit risk. The article examines the advantages and limitations of each method, identifying their impact on the accuracy and reliability of borrower creditworthiness assessments. Current trends in machine learning and credit scoring are also covered, warning of challenges and discussing prospects. The analysis highlights the significant contributions of methods such as LGBM classifier, LR, LDA, DT classifier, gradient boosting classifier and XGB classifier to the development of modern credit scoring practices, highlighting their potential for improving the accuracy and reliability of borrower creditworthiness forecasts in the financial services industry. Additionally, the article discusses the importance of careful selection of machine learning models and the need to continually update methodology in light of the rapidly changing nature of the financial market.

Keywords


Creditworthiness; Decision tree classifier; Gradient boosting classifier; Linear discriminant analysis; Logistic regression; Machine learning

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DOI: http://doi.org/10.11591/ijece.v14i5.pp5534-5542

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International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering (IJECE)
p-ISSN 2088-8708, e-ISSN 2722-2578

This journal is published by the Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science (IAES) in collaboration with Intelektual Pustaka Media Utama (IPMU).