A fuzzy logic scheme based on spread rate and population for pandemic vaccine allocation

Abstract

This paper deals with a novel decision-making scheme for inferring the allocation of vaccines to the provincial health care authorities by the central health care authority of a country in pandemic scenarios. This novel scheme utilizes a fuzzy logic-based inference scheme that utilizes the spread rate and population of a province as inputs to infer the vaccination rate. The proposed scheme is evaluated on the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) data from six southern states of India during the first week of October 2020, collected from the database maintained by the Government of India. The findings demonstrate that the suggested plan, which takes population and spread rate into account, makes sure that enough vaccination doses are distributed to the provinces with a larger spread rate with a higher priority, and that immunizations are not delayed in provinces with controlled spread rates. Also, in due course, all territories will appropriately distribute enough vaccine supply to control the spread. Therefore, this plan strengthens the efforts to control the pandemic outbreaks by ensuring the proper and balanced delivery of vaccines in a timely, efficient, and objective manner.